Signal Observatory // Monitoring Station

Gold Price

gold-price // USD/oz

anomaly
AI Interpretation

Gold is trading at $4,610 per ounce, notably below both its short-term expected level of $5,090 and the upper bounds of its normal trading ranges, marking a sustained departure from recent patterns. This roughly 10% gap between current and expected price represents a significant anomaly that has persisted across both short and long-term measures, though the price remains within historical bands rather than at extreme lows. The deviation may reflect broader market movements such as shifts in U.S. dollar strength, changes in interest rate expectations, or fluctuations in safe-haven demand—all factors that typically drive gold prices in either direction.

Gold spot price via Yahoo Finance

apiEvery 5 min
4-Week Baseline
Score
-4.3
Expected
$5,084 USD/oz
Current
$4,652 USD/oz
Band: $4,881 USD/oz$5,287 USD/oz
12-Week Baseline
Score
-3.8
Expected
$5,090 USD/oz
Current
$4,652 USD/oz
Band: $4,859 USD/oz$5,322 USD/oz
Updated 28d ago
Recent Values
4w 12w
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Mon 23Wed 25Fri 27Tue 3Thu 5Mon 9Wed 11Fri 13Tue 17Thu 19Mar 2026
Event Timeline
29d ago·driftanomaly

Gold at $4,828/oz — 6.2% below expected, significant move

Value: $4,828 USD/ozExpected: $5,149 USD/oz
-3.1
29d ago·anomalydrift

Gold at $4,848/oz, drifting below expected $5,149/oz

Value: $4,848 USD/ozExpected: $5,149 USD/oz
-2.9
29d ago·driftanomaly

Gold at $4,846/oz — 6.2% below expected, significant move

Value: $4,846 USD/ozExpected: $5,167 USD/oz
-3.1
29d ago·anomalydrift

Gold at $4,869/oz, drifting below expected $5,174/oz

Value: $4,869 USD/ozExpected: $5,174 USD/oz
-2.9
30d ago·driftanomaly

Gold at $4,870/oz — 6.1% below expected, significant move

Value: $4,870 USD/ozExpected: $5,184 USD/oz
-3.0
30d ago·anomalydrift

Gold at $4,879/oz, drifting below expected $5,188/oz

Value: $4,879 USD/ozExpected: $5,188 USD/oz
-3.0
30d ago·driftanomaly

Gold at $4,863/oz — 6.2% below expected, significant move

Value: $4,863 USD/ozExpected: $5,184 USD/oz
-3.1
30d ago·normaldrift

Gold has drifted below expectations at 4876.2 USD/oz versus 4184.3 expected, with a score of -2.97 indicating moderate downside deviation across both short and long-term horizons. The current price sits near the lower edge of both trading bands, signaling a transition from normal status to a downtrend that warrants monitoring for potential support testing or mean reversion.

Value: $4,876 USD/ozExpected: $5,184 USD/oz
-3.0
30d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,005/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,005 USD/ozExpected: $5,128 USD/oz
-1.2
30d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,005/oz, drifting below expected $5,161/oz

Value: $5,005 USD/ozExpected: $5,161 USD/oz
-1.5
31d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,030/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,030 USD/ozExpected: $5,173 USD/oz
-1.4
31d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,018/oz, drifting below expected $5,174/oz

Value: $5,018 USD/ozExpected: $5,174 USD/oz
-1.5
31d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,022/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,022 USD/ozExpected: $5,174 USD/oz
-1.5
31d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,019/oz, drifting below expected $5,177/oz

Value: $5,019 USD/ozExpected: $5,177 USD/oz
-1.5
31d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,022/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,022 USD/ozExpected: $5,177 USD/oz
-1.5
31d ago·normaldrift

Gold has drifted below expectations at 5017.1 USD/oz versus 5177.35 expected, scoring -1.55 on short-term weakness while maintaining normal long-term fundamentals at -0.72. The price remains within both operating bands but signals near-term consolidation pressure, representing a shift from the previously normal status.

Value: $5,017 USD/ozExpected: $5,177 USD/oz
-1.5
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold has moved from drift into normal short-term status with a strong score of 0.98, trading at 5212.3 USD/oz well above the expected 5054.8 USD/oz and comfortably within the short-term band of 4733–5376. However, long-term drift persists (score 1.82) as the price has breached the upper boundary of the long-term band at 5230.37, signaling sustained upward pressure that may warrant monitoring for potential range extension.

Value: $5,212 USD/ozExpected: $5,055 USD/oz
+1.0
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,351/oz, drifting above expected $5,086/oz

Value: $5,351 USD/ozExpected: $5,086 USD/oz
+2.6
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,350/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,350 USD/ozExpected: $5,177 USD/oz
+0.9
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,353/oz, drifting above expected $5,100/oz

Value: $5,353 USD/ozExpected: $5,100 USD/oz
+1.9
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,356/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,356 USD/ozExpected: $5,174 USD/oz
+1.0
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,349/oz, drifting above expected $5,102/oz

Value: $5,349 USD/ozExpected: $5,102 USD/oz
+1.9
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,353/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,353 USD/ozExpected: $5,169 USD/oz
+1.1
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,342/oz, drifting above expected $5,100/oz

Value: $5,342 USD/ozExpected: $5,100 USD/oz
+1.9
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,339/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,339 USD/ozExpected: $5,167 USD/oz
+1.0
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,339/oz, drifting above expected $5,100/oz

Value: $5,339 USD/ozExpected: $5,100 USD/oz
+1.9
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,346/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,346 USD/ozExpected: $5,160 USD/oz
+1.1
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,325/oz, drifting above expected $5,090/oz

Value: $5,325 USD/ozExpected: $5,090 USD/oz
+2.1
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,316/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,316 USD/ozExpected: $5,153 USD/oz
+1.0
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,317/oz, drifting above expected $5,081/oz

Value: $5,317 USD/ozExpected: $5,081 USD/oz
+2.3
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,309/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,309 USD/ozExpected: $5,152 USD/oz
+1.0
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,319/oz, drifting above expected $5,080/oz

Value: $5,319 USD/ozExpected: $5,080 USD/oz
+2.3
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,319/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,319 USD/ozExpected: $5,156 USD/oz
+1.0
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,310/oz, drifting above expected $5,094/oz

Value: $5,310 USD/ozExpected: $5,094 USD/oz
+1.8
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,313/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,313 USD/ozExpected: $5,162 USD/oz
+0.9
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,313/oz, drifting above expected $5,097/oz

Value: $5,313 USD/ozExpected: $5,097 USD/oz
+1.7
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold spot price at 5311.6 USD/oz has moved above the long-term upper band (5223.61), confirming a shift from drift to normal short-term status with a low directional score of 1.39, though the long-term drift signal (2.88) persists, suggesting price volatility remains elevated despite stabilizing near expected levels. The absence of intraday change data limits confirmation of immediate momentum, but the price premium to forecast indicates sustained upward pressure in a consolidating trend.

Value: $5,312 USD/ozExpected: $5,100 USD/oz
+1.4
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,315/oz, drifting above expected $5,099/oz

Value: $5,315 USD/ozExpected: $5,099 USD/oz
+1.5
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,314/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,314 USD/ozExpected: $5,145 USD/oz
+1.0
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,302/oz, drifting above expected $5,090/oz

Value: $5,302 USD/ozExpected: $5,090 USD/oz
+1.5
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold has shifted from drift to normal status in the short term, with the spot price at 5289.7 USD/oz now exceeding the previous expected value of 5089.4 and sitting above the long-term band ceiling of 5223.09, indicating a sustained bullish move that remains contained within the wider short-term range of 4811.71–5367.09. The long-term drift signal (score 2.66) persists, suggesting upward structural momentum despite the short-term normalization.

Value: $5,290 USD/ozExpected: $5,089 USD/oz
+1.4
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,349/oz, drifting above expected $5,088/oz

Value: $5,349 USD/ozExpected: $5,088 USD/oz
+2.0
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,356/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,356 USD/ozExpected: $5,146 USD/oz
+1.2
45d ago·normaldrift

Gold at $5,335/oz, drifting above expected $5,076/oz

Value: $5,335 USD/ozExpected: $5,076 USD/oz
+2.3
45d ago·driftnormal

Gold at $5,348/oz, within normal range

Value: $5,348 USD/ozExpected: $5,137 USD/oz
+1.3
46d ago·anomalydrift

Gold at $5,351/oz, drifting above expected $5,057/oz

Value: $5,351 USD/ozExpected: $5,057 USD/oz
+2.9
46d ago·driftanomaly

Gold at $5,381/oz — 6.5% above expected, significant move

Value: $5,381 USD/ozExpected: $5,054 USD/oz
+3.2
46d ago·anomalydrift

Gold at $5,390/oz, drifting above expected $5,103/oz

Value: $5,390 USD/ozExpected: $5,103 USD/oz
+2.4
46d ago·driftanomaly

Gold at $5,411/oz — 7.5% above expected, significant move

Value: $5,411 USD/ozExpected: $5,032 USD/oz
+3.8
46d ago·anomalydrift

Gold at $5,408/oz, drifting above expected $5,105/oz

Value: $5,408 USD/ozExpected: $5,105 USD/oz
+2.4