Signal Observatory // Monitoring Station

Oil Price (WTI)

oil-wti // USD/bbl

anomaly
AI Interpretation

WTI crude oil is trading at $91.25 per barrel, roughly 36% above its expected range of $67 and significantly above both short-term and long-term historical bands. This represents a sustained anomaly that has persisted from the previous reading, indicating oil prices have moved well beyond typical recent fluctuations. The elevated price likely reflects supply constraints, geopolitical tensions, or shifts in global demand that are pushing costs notably higher than the recent baseline—which translates to more expensive gasoline and heating fuel for consumers and higher energy costs for businesses.

WTI crude oil futures price via Yahoo Finance

apiEvery 5 min
4-Week Baseline
Score
+10.0
Expected
$67.26 USD/bbl
Current
$91.46 USD/bbl
Band: $64.47 USD/bbl$70.05 USD/bbl
12-Week Baseline
Score
+8.2
Expected
$66.48 USD/bbl
Current
$91.46 USD/bbl
Band: $60.37 USD/bbl$72.59 USD/bbl
Updated 21h ago
Recent Values
4w 12w
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Tue 24Wed 25Thu 26Fri 27Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4Thu 5Fri 6Mar 2026
Event Timeline
3d ago·driftanomaly

WTI crude at $73.80/bbl — 12.7% above expected, significant move

Value: $73.8 USD/bblExpected: $65.46 USD/bbl
+4.5
3d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude has drifted above its short-term range to 74.92 USD/bbl (expected 66.09, score 2.86) and breached the long-term band ceiling at 69.49, triggering a long-term anomaly signal (score 5.00). The 13% premium to the long-term midpoint suggests sustained upward pressure that has shifted the assessment from normal to concerning on a multi-week horizon.

Value: $74.92 USD/bblExpected: $66.09 USD/bbl
+2.9
3d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $73.00/bbl, within normal range

Value: $73 USD/bblExpected: $65.66 USD/bbl
+1.5
4d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude has drifted above its short-term band (76.04 vs 75.02 ceiling) with a score of 2.24, and registers a long-term anomaly (score 5.80) as it sits well above the long-term range of 61.82–69.12, indicating sustained upward pressure disconnected from recent expectations of 66.51. The transition from normal status reflects strengthening pricing momentum that exceeds both immediate and fundamental equilibrium levels.

Value: $76.04 USD/bblExpected: $66.51 USD/bbl
+2.2
4d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $72.25/bbl, within normal range

Value: $72.25 USD/bblExpected: $66.38 USD/bbl
+1.5
4d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $72.38/bbl, drifting above expected $66.38/bbl

Value: $72.38 USD/bblExpected: $66.38 USD/bbl
+1.5
4d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $72.35/bbl, within normal range

Value: $72.35 USD/bblExpected: $66.41 USD/bbl
+1.5
4d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $72.39/bbl, drifting above expected $66.38/bbl

Value: $72.39 USD/bblExpected: $66.38 USD/bbl
+1.5
4d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $72.26/bbl, within normal range

Value: $72.26 USD/bblExpected: $66.38 USD/bbl
+1.5
4d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $72.29/bbl, drifting above expected $66.33/bbl

Value: $72.29 USD/bblExpected: $66.33 USD/bbl
+1.5
11d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.89/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.89 USD/bblExpected: $64.39 USD/bbl
+1.2
11d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.86/bbl, drifting above expected $64.38/bbl

Value: $66.86 USD/bblExpected: $64.38 USD/bbl
+1.6
11d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.84/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.84 USD/bblExpected: $64.52 USD/bbl
+1.4
11d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.29/bbl, drifting above expected $64.22/bbl

Value: $66.29 USD/bblExpected: $64.22 USD/bbl
+1.6
11d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.22/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.22 USD/bblExpected: $64.32 USD/bbl
+1.5
11d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.28/bbl, drifting above expected $64.28/bbl

Value: $66.28 USD/bblExpected: $64.28 USD/bbl
+1.6
12d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.45/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.45 USD/bblExpected: $64.56 USD/bbl
+1.4
14d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.27/bbl, drifting above expected $62.81/bbl

Value: $66.27 USD/bblExpected: $62.81 USD/bbl
+2.8
14d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.29/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.29 USD/bblExpected: $64.5 USD/bbl
+0.7
14d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.41/bbl, drifting above expected $62.75/bbl

Value: $66.41 USD/bblExpected: $62.75 USD/bbl
+2.9
14d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.42/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.42 USD/bblExpected: $64.64 USD/bbl
+0.7
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.54/bbl, drifting above expected $63.02/bbl

Value: $66.54 USD/bblExpected: $63.02 USD/bbl
+2.8
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.58/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.58 USD/bblExpected: $64.75 USD/bbl
+0.7
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.33/bbl, drifting above expected $63.14/bbl

Value: $66.33 USD/bblExpected: $63.14 USD/bbl
+2.5
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.33/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.33 USD/bblExpected: $64.65 USD/bbl
+0.7
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.21/bbl, drifting above expected $62.97/bbl

Value: $66.21 USD/bblExpected: $62.97 USD/bbl
+2.6
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.23/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.23 USD/bblExpected: $64.3 USD/bbl
+0.8
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.23/bbl, drifting above expected $62.73/bbl

Value: $66.23 USD/bblExpected: $62.73 USD/bbl
+2.8
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.30/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.3 USD/bblExpected: $64.43 USD/bbl
+0.8
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.03/bbl, drifting above expected $62.84/bbl

Value: $66.03 USD/bblExpected: $62.84 USD/bbl
+2.5
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.02/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.02 USD/bblExpected: $64.16 USD/bbl
+0.8
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.14/bbl, drifting above expected $62.71/bbl

Value: $66.14 USD/bblExpected: $62.71 USD/bbl
+2.7
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.17/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.17 USD/bblExpected: $64.41 USD/bbl
+0.7
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.32/bbl, drifting above expected $62.78/bbl

Value: $66.32 USD/bblExpected: $62.78 USD/bbl
+2.8
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.18/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.18 USD/bblExpected: $64.05 USD/bbl
+1.0
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.19/bbl, drifting above expected $62.71/bbl

Value: $66.19 USD/bblExpected: $62.71 USD/bbl
+2.8
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.35/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.35 USD/bblExpected: $64.43 USD/bbl
+0.7
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.02/bbl, drifting above expected $62.70/bbl

Value: $66.02 USD/bblExpected: $62.7 USD/bbl
+2.6
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.05/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.05 USD/bblExpected: $64.61 USD/bbl
+0.6
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.18/bbl, drifting above expected $62.89/bbl

Value: $66.18 USD/bblExpected: $62.89 USD/bbl
+2.6
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.20/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.2 USD/bblExpected: $64.52 USD/bbl
+0.7
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.04/bbl, drifting above expected $62.94/bbl

Value: $66.04 USD/bblExpected: $62.94 USD/bbl
+2.5
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.11/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.11 USD/bblExpected: $64.03 USD/bbl
+0.9
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.69/bbl, drifting above expected $63.73/bbl

Value: $66.69 USD/bblExpected: $63.73 USD/bbl
+2.3
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.68/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.68 USD/bblExpected: $64.32 USD/bbl
+1.1
15d ago·anomalydrift

WTI crude at $66.67/bbl, drifting above expected $62.91/bbl

Value: $66.67 USD/bblExpected: $62.91 USD/bbl
+3.0
15d ago·driftanomaly

WTI crude at $66.68/bbl — 6.0% above expected, significant move

Value: $66.68 USD/bblExpected: $62.91 USD/bbl
+3.0
15d ago·normaldrift

WTI crude at $66.67/bbl, drifting above expected $62.90/bbl

Value: $66.67 USD/bblExpected: $62.9 USD/bbl
+3.0
15d ago·driftnormal

WTI crude at $66.63/bbl, within normal range

Value: $66.63 USD/bblExpected: $64.71 USD/bbl
+0.7
15d ago·anomalydrift

WTI crude at $66.62/bbl, drifting above expected $62.89/bbl

Value: $66.62 USD/bblExpected: $62.89 USD/bbl
+3.0