Signal Observatory // Monitoring Station

Global Active Disasters

reliefweb-disasters // count

normal
AI Interpretation

The world is currently dealing with 10 active humanitarian disasters, which is slightly above the expected level of 9 but well within normal seasonal ranges. This represents a typical situation rather than an unusual spike—the current count falls comfortably between the normal short-term band of 6–12 active disasters. The elevated weighted alert score of 10 suggests that while the number of disasters is ordinary, their combined severity or scope may be drawing more attention, though this remains within expected patterns overall.

Count of currently active humanitarian disasters worldwide via ReliefWeb

apiEvery 1 hour
4-Week Baseline
Score
+0.7
Expected
9.0
Current
10.0
Band: 6.012.0
12-Week Baseline
Score
0.0
Expected
10.0
Current
10.0
Band: 9.610.4
Updated 75d ago
Recent Values
4w 12w
Scroll to zoom
Mar 2026
Event Timeline
76d ago·anomalynormal

Global disaster alert index at 10, within expected range

Value: 10.0Expected: 8.0
+0.7
76d ago·normalanomaly

Global active disasters increased to 10 from an expected 8, triggering a short-term anomaly with a perfect score of 10.00, though this remains within the normal long-term band of 9.60–10.40. The elevated reading reflects 92 total alerts with maximum weighted scoring, suggesting a genuine concentration of humanitarian crises rather than data noise.

Value: 10.0Expected: 8.0
+10.0
81d ago·anomalynormal

The Global Active Disasters count has returned to normal status at 10 incidents, matching expectations and falling within the 9.60-10.40 band, with a score of 0.00 indicating no deviation. This represents a recovery from the previous anomaly state, though the weighted score of 10 across 148 total alerts suggests underlying volatility in humanitarian conditions despite the normalized count metric.

Value: 10.0Expected: 10.0
0.0
81d ago·normalanomaly

Global disaster alert index at 8 — significantly reduced vs expected 10

Value: 8.0Expected: 10.0
-10.0
82d ago·anomalynormal

Global disaster alert index at 8, within expected range

Value: 8.0Expected: 9.0
-0.7
82d ago·normalanomaly

Global active disasters dropped to 8 from an expected 10, falling below both short-term (9.60-10.40) and long-term bands with a -10.00 score, marking a shift from normal to dual-timeframe anomaly status. The 140 total alerts and weighted score of 8 suggest this represents a genuine decrease in active humanitarian crises rather than data volatility.

Value: 8.0Expected: 10.0
-10.0
82d ago·anomalynormal

Global disaster alert index at 8, within expected range

Value: 8.0Expected: 9.0
-0.7
82d ago·normalanomaly

Global disaster alert index at 8 — significantly reduced vs expected 10

Value: 8.0Expected: 10.0
-10.0
86d ago·anomalynormal

Global active disasters increased to 12 from the expected 10, marking a return to normal short-term status (score 1.35, within band 7.03–12.97) but remaining anomalous long-term (score 10.00, above band 9.60–10.40). The uptick reverses the previous anomaly classification as humanitarian crises remain elevated relative to historical baseline, with 163 total alerts generating a weighted score of 12.

Value: 12.0Expected: 10.0
+1.3
88d ago·normalanomaly

Global active disasters spiked to 12 from an expected 10, triggering dual anomalies across both short and long-term bands (9.60-10.40 range), with a maximum score of 10.00 indicating sustained elevation. The 185 total alerts and weighted score of 12 suggest this represents a significant uptick in humanitarian crisis concentration.

Value: 12.0Expected: 10.0
+10.0
95d ago·anomalynormal

The global active disasters count has returned to normal at 10 disasters, matching the expected level and falling within both short and long-term bands of 9.60-10.40. The signal transitioned from an anomaly state to normal with a score of 0.00, indicating stabilization despite 111 total alerts and a weighted score of 10 reflecting ongoing humanitarian activity.

Value: 10.0Expected: 10.0
0.0
96d ago·normalanomaly

Global disaster alert index at 6 — significantly reduced vs expected 10

Value: 6.0Expected: 10.0
-10.0
97d ago·anomalynormal

Global Active Disasters remains at 6 active humanitarian crises, matching short-term expectations and within normal parameters (-5.86–17.86 band), though it registers as a long-term anomaly with a -10.00 score since current activity sits significantly below the expected 9.60–10.40 band. The transition from previous anomaly status reflects stabilization in the short-term trend despite the persistent structural deficit in global disaster count relative to historical norms.

Value: 6.0Expected: 6.0
0.0
100d ago·normalanomaly

Global Active Disasters count dropped to 6 from an expected 10, marking a significant deviation below both short-term (9.60-10.40) and long-term (9.60-10.40) bands with a score of -10.00. This represents a shift from normal status to a confirmed long-term anomaly, suggesting either improved humanitarian conditions globally or a potential reporting lag across ReliefWeb's tracked disasters.

Value: 6.0Expected: 10.0
-10.0
110d ago·anomalynormal

Global active disasters declined from anomalous to normal levels, dropping to 10 incidents versus the 5-count expectation, though still elevated relative to historical baselines with a 0.67 score indicating moderate deviation. The short and long-term bands remain wide at -9.83–19.83, suggesting continued uncertainty around disaster frequency despite the improvement from the previous anomalous state.

Value: 10.0Expected: 5.0
+0.7
111d ago·normalanomaly

Global active disasters surged to 10 from an expected baseline near zero, with both short and long-term bands showing severe deviation (expected range -0.20 to 0.20 count) and a maximum anomaly score of 10.00. This represents a critical humanitarian shift from normal status, evidenced by 75 total alerts and a weighted score of 10, indicating a significant global crisis event.

Value: 10.0
+10.0