Signal Observatory // Monitoring Station

Global Active Disasters

reliefweb-disasters // count

anomaly
AI Interpretation

There are currently 12 active humanitarian disasters tracked globally, which is two more than the typical range of 9-10 and marks a continuation of elevated levels seen recently. This elevated count coincides with multiple concurrent crises across different regions, as reflected in the 166 total alerts in the system. While humanitarian disasters naturally fluctuate, the consistent positioning above the expected band suggests a period of heightened global instability that warrants continued monitoring by aid organizations and policymakers focused on disaster response.

Count of currently active humanitarian disasters worldwide via ReliefWeb

apiEvery 1 hour
4-Week Baseline
Score
+10.0
Expected
10.0
Current
12.0
Band: 9.610.4
12-Week Baseline
Score
+10.0
Expected
10.0
Current
12.0
Band: 9.610.4
Updated 1m ago
Recent Values
4w 12w
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Fri 13Sun 15Tue 17Thu 19Sat 21Mon 23Wed 25Fri 27Sun 1Tue 3Thu 5Sat 7Mar 2026
Event Timeline
1d ago·normalanomaly

Global active disasters spiked to 12 from an expected 10, triggering dual anomalies across both short and long-term bands (9.60-10.40 range), with a maximum score of 10.00 indicating sustained elevation. The 185 total alerts and weighted score of 12 suggest this represents a significant uptick in humanitarian crisis concentration.

Value: 12.0Expected: 10.0
+10.0
8d ago·anomalynormal

The global active disasters count has returned to normal at 10 disasters, matching the expected level and falling within both short and long-term bands of 9.60-10.40. The signal transitioned from an anomaly state to normal with a score of 0.00, indicating stabilization despite 111 total alerts and a weighted score of 10 reflecting ongoing humanitarian activity.

Value: 10.0Expected: 10.0
0.0
9d ago·normalanomaly

Global disaster alert index at 6 — significantly reduced vs expected 10

Value: 6.0Expected: 10.0
-10.0
9d ago·anomalynormal

Global Active Disasters remains at 6 active humanitarian crises, matching short-term expectations and within normal parameters (-5.86–17.86 band), though it registers as a long-term anomaly with a -10.00 score since current activity sits significantly below the expected 9.60–10.40 band. The transition from previous anomaly status reflects stabilization in the short-term trend despite the persistent structural deficit in global disaster count relative to historical norms.

Value: 6.0Expected: 6.0
0.0
12d ago·normalanomaly

Global Active Disasters count dropped to 6 from an expected 10, marking a significant deviation below both short-term (9.60-10.40) and long-term (9.60-10.40) bands with a score of -10.00. This represents a shift from normal status to a confirmed long-term anomaly, suggesting either improved humanitarian conditions globally or a potential reporting lag across ReliefWeb's tracked disasters.

Value: 6.0Expected: 10.0
-10.0
23d ago·anomalynormal

Global active disasters declined from anomalous to normal levels, dropping to 10 incidents versus the 5-count expectation, though still elevated relative to historical baselines with a 0.67 score indicating moderate deviation. The short and long-term bands remain wide at -9.83–19.83, suggesting continued uncertainty around disaster frequency despite the improvement from the previous anomalous state.

Value: 10.0Expected: 5.0
+0.7
23d ago·normalanomaly

Global active disasters surged to 10 from an expected baseline near zero, with both short and long-term bands showing severe deviation (expected range -0.20 to 0.20 count) and a maximum anomaly score of 10.00. This represents a critical humanitarian shift from normal status, evidenced by 75 total alerts and a weighted score of 10, indicating a significant global crisis event.

Value: 10.0
+10.0