Signal Observatory // Monitoring Station

European Weather Alerts

meteoalarm // score

normal
AI Interpretation

Europe's weather alert system currently shows a score of 27, which is moderately elevated above the expected 22 but still within normal range for this time of period. This reflects more severe weather warnings than typical across six major EU countries—likely involving storms, wind, or temperature extremes—though the situation remains manageable and not approaching crisis levels. The data suggests temporary weather challenges are affecting parts of Europe without indicating any unusual long-term shift in severe weather patterns.

Weighted European weather alert score via Meteoalarm (6 major EU countries)

apiEvery 30 min
4-Week Baseline
Score
0.0
Expected
28.0
Current
28.0
Band: -4.660.6
12-Week Baseline
Score
-0.1
Expected
29.0
Current
28.0
Band: -0.758.7
Updated 75d ago
Recent Values
4w 12w
Scroll to zoom
Mar 2026
Event Timeline
75d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 32, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 32.0Expected: 25.5
+1.5
75d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 33, elevated vs expected 26

Value: 33.0Expected: 25.5
+1.7
75d ago·driftnormal

European weather alerts improved from drift status to normal as the weighted score rose to 33, settling comfortably within the short-term normal band (9.21-44.79) and above the 27 expected baseline. The 0.67 score confidence indicates a stable atmospheric pattern across the 24 monitored countries, suggesting reduced severe weather risk in the near term.

Value: 33.0Expected: 27.0
+0.7
75d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 33, elevated vs expected 26

Value: 33.0Expected: 25.5
+1.7
75d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 33, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 33.0Expected: 27.0
+0.7
75d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 33, elevated vs expected 26

Value: 33.0Expected: 25.5
+1.7
75d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 32, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 32.0Expected: 27.0
+0.7
75d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 32, elevated vs expected 25

Value: 32.0Expected: 24.5
+1.7
75d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 31, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 31.0Expected: 24.5
+1.5
75d ago·anomalydrift

European alert score 33, elevated vs expected 24

Value: 33.0Expected: 24.0
+1.5
75d ago·driftanomaly

European alert score 33 — significantly elevated, major weather events across Europe

Value: 33.0Expected: 23.5
+3.2
75d ago·anomalydrift

European alert score 33, elevated vs expected 24

Value: 33.0Expected: 24.0
+1.5
75d ago·normalanomaly

European weather alert activity has spiked to 33, exceeding the short-term normal band of 17.57–29.43 and significantly above the expected 23.5, triggering an anomaly status with a score of 3.20. The 24-country dataset shows elevated severe weather conditions across major EU regions, though long-term context (band -0.65–58.65) remains well within normal parameters, suggesting this is a temporary weather event rather than a sustained pattern shift.

Value: 33.0Expected: 23.5
+3.2
76d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 33, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 33.0Expected: 23.0
+1.3
76d ago·anomalydrift

European alert score 33, elevated vs expected 23

Value: 33.0Expected: 22.5
+2.8
76d ago·driftanomaly

European alert score 33 — significantly elevated, major weather events across Europe

Value: 33.0Expected: 22.5
+3.5
76d ago·anomalydrift

European alert score 33, elevated vs expected 23

Value: 33.0Expected: 23.0
+1.7
76d ago·driftanomaly

European alert score 33 — significantly elevated, major weather events across Europe

Value: 33.0Expected: 22.5
+4.7
76d ago·anomalydrift

European alert score 33, elevated vs expected 23

Value: 33.0Expected: 23.0
+1.7
76d ago·driftanomaly

European alert score 31 — significantly elevated, major weather events across Europe

Value: 31.0Expected: 22.0
+3.0
76d ago·anomalydrift

European alert score 30, elevated vs expected 23

Value: 30.0Expected: 23.0
+1.6
76d ago·driftanomaly

European alert score 30 — significantly elevated, major weather events across Europe

Value: 30.0Expected: 22.0
+3.6
76d ago·anomalydrift

The European weather alert score has moderated from anomaly to drift status, declining to 30 from a previous elevated level, though it remains above the normal expectation of 22 and within the short-term alert band (13.10–30.90). The 1.80 shift score indicates a meaningful but contained deterioration across the 6 monitored EU countries, suggesting weather severity is receding toward baseline conditions.

Value: 30.0Expected: 22.0
+1.8
76d ago·driftanomaly

European alert score 30 — significantly elevated, major weather events across Europe

Value: 30.0Expected: 21.0
+6.1
76d ago·anomalydrift

European alert score 30, elevated vs expected 21

Value: 30.0Expected: 21.0
+2.0
76d ago·driftanomaly

European alert score 30 — significantly elevated, major weather events across Europe

Value: 30.0Expected: 21.0
+4.0
76d ago·anomalydrift

European alert score 30, elevated vs expected 21

Value: 30.0Expected: 21.0
+2.0
76d ago·driftanomaly

European alert score 30 — significantly elevated, major weather events across Europe

Value: 30.0Expected: 21.0
+4.0
76d ago·normaldrift

European weather alert score rose to 30 from an expected 21, crossing into the short-term drift band (12.10-29.90) with a z-score of 2.02, driven by increased severe weather activity across the 22 monitored countries. Long-term outlook remains normal well within the -1.65-57.65 band, suggesting this elevated activity is temporary rather than indicative of a sustained trend shift.

Value: 30.0Expected: 21.0
+2.0
76d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 34, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 34.0Expected: 28.0
+0.7
76d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 34, elevated vs expected 25

Value: 34.0Expected: 25.0
+1.5
76d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 35, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 35.0Expected: 27.0
+0.8
76d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 35, elevated vs expected 24

Value: 35.0Expected: 23.5
+1.9
76d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 35, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 35.0Expected: 27.0
+0.7
76d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 34, elevated vs expected 24

Value: 34.0Expected: 23.5
+2.0
77d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 34, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 34.0Expected: 25.0
+0.9
77d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 35, elevated vs expected 22

Value: 35.0Expected: 22.0
+2.5
77d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 35, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 35.0Expected: 25.0
+1.0
77d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 35, elevated vs expected 22

Value: 35.0Expected: 22.0
+2.5
77d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 34, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 34.0Expected: 25.0
+0.8
77d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 34, elevated vs expected 22

Value: 34.0Expected: 22.0
+2.0
79d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 28, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 28.0Expected: 21.0
+1.3
79d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 28, elevated vs expected 20

Value: 28.0Expected: 20.0
+2.2
79d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 28, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 28.0Expected: 22.0
+0.8
79d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 28, elevated vs expected 20

Value: 28.0Expected: 20.0
+2.2
90d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 19, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 19.0Expected: 31.5
-0.8
90d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 19, reduced vs expected 40

Value: 19.0Expected: 40.0
-2.4
94d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 19, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 19.0Expected: 39.0
-1.3
95d ago·normaldrift

European alert score 19, reduced vs expected 39

Value: 19.0Expected: 39.0
-1.7
95d ago·driftnormal

European weather alert score 19, within normal range across monitored countries

Value: 19.0Expected: 38.0
-1.4