Signal Observatory // Monitoring Station

Crypto Fear & Greed

fear-greed // index

normal
AI Interpretation

The crypto market is operating in a state of extreme fear, with the Fear & Greed Index at 11 out of 100—well below the typical range and significantly lower than the expected level of 14. This reading indicates investors are highly pessimistic about near-term price movements, though the index remains within its normal historical short-term band (8–20), meaning this level of anxiety, while intense, is not unprecedented. The slight negative score of -1.01 suggests conditions have deteriorated marginally from recent patterns, and this extreme fear often correlates with capitulation selling and can sometimes precede market rebounds, though timing such reversals is notoriously difficult.

4-Week Baseline
Score
-1.0
Expected
14.0
Current
11.0
Band: 8.119.9
12-Week Baseline
Score
-1.0
Expected
20.0
Current
11.0
Band: 2.237.8
Updated 75d ago
Recent Values
4w 12w
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Jan 2026Feb 2026Mar 2026
Event Timeline
76d ago·anomalynormal

Fear & Greed at 23 (Extreme Fear), within normal range

Value: 23.0Expected: 20.0
+0.8
79d ago·normalanomaly

Fear & Greed at 23 (Extreme Fear) — significantly above norm, sentiment shift

Value: 23.0Expected: 9.0
+3.8
80d ago·driftnormal

Fear & Greed at 15 (Extreme Fear), within normal range

Value: 15.0Expected: 12.0
+0.7
81d ago·normaldrift

Fear & Greed at 16 (Extreme Fear), above expected 11

Value: 16.0Expected: 11.0
+1.7
83d ago·driftnormal

Fear & Greed at 18 (Extreme Fear), within normal range

Value: 18.0Expected: 14.5
+0.5
84d ago·normaldrift

Fear & Greed at 15 (Extreme Fear), above expected 11

Value: 15.0Expected: 11.0
+2.7
88d ago·driftnormal

Fear & Greed at 12 (Extreme Fear), within normal range

Value: 12.0Expected: 10.0
+0.9
90d ago·normaldrift

Fear & Greed at 22 (Extreme Fear), above expected 10

Value: 22.0Expected: 10.0
+2.7
91d ago·anomalynormal

Fear & Greed at 10 (Extreme Fear), within normal range

Value: 10.0Expected: 10.5
-0.7
91d ago·normalanomaly

Fear & Greed at 14 (Extreme Fear) — significantly above norm, sentiment shift

Value: 14.0Expected: 9.5
+3.0
92d ago·anomalynormal

Fear & Greed at 14 (Extreme Fear), within normal range

Value: 14.0Expected: 10.0
+1.3
92d ago·normalanomaly

Fear & Greed at 14 (Extreme Fear) — significantly above norm, sentiment shift

Value: 14.0Expected: 9.5
+3.0
93d ago·anomalynormal

The Fear & Greed Index improved marginally from extreme fear conditions, moving to 10 index with a -0.34 score, though it remains well below the short-term band floor of 5.07-16.93 and classified as extreme fear, signaling continued severe market pessimism despite the transition from anomaly to normal status. The long-term trajectory remains deeply negative at -1.12, indicating sustained bearish sentiment over an extended period.

Value: 10.0Expected: 11.0
-0.3
94d ago·normalanomaly

Fear & Greed at 14 (Extreme Fear) — significantly above norm, sentiment shift

Value: 14.0Expected: 8.5
+3.7
99d ago·driftnormal

Crypto fear sentiment improved marginally from extreme fear conditions, with the index rising to 8 (up from prior drift status) but still firmly below the short-term band midpoint of 9, indicating persistent fear dominance. The -0.67 short-term score and -1.25 long-term score suggest sentiment remains structurally depressed despite the uptick, keeping both timeframes in normal but weak positioning within their respective bands.

Value: 8.0Expected: 9.0
-0.7
100d ago·normaldrift

Fear & Greed at 5 (Extreme Fear), below expected 12

Value: 5.0Expected: 12.0
-2.4
100d ago·driftnormal

Fear & Greed at 5 (Extreme Fear), within normal range

Value: 5.0Expected: 10.0
-1.1
100d ago·normaldrift

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has deteriorated sharply to 5 (extreme fear) from an expected 12, dropping below the short-term band floor of 6.07 with a concerning -2.36 score, signaling a shift from normal to drift status as market sentiment has capitulated. Both short and long-term trajectories are now negative (long-term score -1.54), suggesting sustained downward pressure beyond typical volatility.

Value: 5.0Expected: 12.0
-2.4
110d ago·driftnormal

The Fear & Greed Index remains in Extreme Fear territory at 9, significantly below the expected 20 level, with the short-term score deteriorating to -1.24 while long-term drift deepens to -1.89, indicating sustained downside pressure despite technically exiting short-term drift status. The index remains well below both short-term (2.21-37.79) and long-term (8.17-37.83) bands, suggesting market sentiment has not stabilized and continued bearish positioning persists.

Value: 9.0Expected: 20.0
-1.2
111d ago·normaldrift

Fear & Greed at 5 (Extreme Fear), below expected 20

Value: 5.0Expected: 20.0
-1.7
114d ago·driftnormal

Fear & Greed at 7 (Extreme Fear), within normal range

Value: 7.0Expected: 24.5
-1.5
115d ago·normaldrift

The Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 6, dropping 19 points below the 25 expected level with a score of -1.83, signaling Extreme Fear and a shift from normal to drift status in both short and long-term timeframes. The index has fallen below its long-term band floor of 8.17, indicating market sentiment has deteriorated significantly and represents a notable capitulation event in crypto markets.

Value: 6.0Expected: 25.0
-1.8